Bitcoin Preis Analyse: BTC signalisiert scharfe Abwärtskorrektur

Der Bitcoin-Preis kämpft darum, die Widerstandsniveaus von $37.800 und $38.000 gegenüber dem US-Dollar zu überwinden.

Der Preis handelt jetzt deutlich unter $36.000 und dem 55 einfachen gleitenden Durchschnitt (4-Stunden).
Auf dem 4-Stunden-Chart des BTC/USD-Paares (Daten-Feed von Coinbase) bildet sich ein großes kontrahierendes Dreieck mit Unterstützung bei $35.200.
Das Paar könnte stark abfallen, wenn es die Unterstützungsniveaus von $35.200 und $35.000 durchbricht.

Der Bitcoin-Preis bewegt sich langsam unter $36.000 zum US Dollar. BTC könnte stark fallen, wenn er sich in naher Zukunft unter $35.000 und $34.500 einpendelt.

In den vergangenen Tagen gab es eine bärische Reaktion des Bitcoin-Preises unter $39.200 gegenüber dem US-Dollar. BTC begann einen erneuten Rückgang und wurde unter den Unterstützungsniveaus von $38.000 und $37.500 gehandelt.

Das letzte Swing-High liegt bei $37.900 und es wird nun unter dem Niveau von $38.000 gehandelt. Es gab einen Durchbruch unter das Unterstützungsniveau von $36.500 und den 55 einfachen gleitenden Durchschnitt (4-Stunden). Es gab einen Durchbruch unter das 50% Fib-Retracement-Level der Aufwärtsbewegung vom Schwungtief bei $33.911 zum Hoch bei $37.900.

Es scheint, als würde sich ein großes kontrahierendes Dreieck mit einer Unterstützung bei $35.200 auf dem 4-Stunden-Chart des BTC/USD-Paares bilden. Die Dreiecksunterstützung liegt in der Nähe des 61,8% Fib-Retracement-Levels der Aufwärtsbewegung vom Tiefststand bei 33.911 $ bis zum Höchststand bei 37.900 $.

Wenn es einen Abwärtsbruch unter die Dreiecksunterstützung und $35.000 gibt, könnte der Bitcoin-Preis nach unten beschleunigen. Im genannten Fall werden die Bären wahrscheinlich einen Test von $34.000 anstreben.

Weitere Verluste könnten die Türen für einen Vorstoß in Richtung der Unterstützungszone von $32.000 öffnen. Auf der Oberseite bildet sich eine wichtige Hürde bei $36.000 und dem 55 einfachen gleitenden Durchschnitt (4-Stunden). Der Hauptwiderstand bildet sich bei der Marke von 38.500 $.

Ein klarer Durchbruch über die Widerstandsniveaus von $38.000 und $38.500 könnte die Türen für einen Vorstoß in Richtung der $40.000-Marke in den kommenden Sitzungen öffnen.

Ein Blick auf den Chart zeigt, dass der Bitcoin-Preis deutlich unter $37.000 und dem 55 einfachen gleitenden Durchschnitt (4-Stunden) handelt. Insgesamt könnte der Preis stark fallen, wenn er die Unterstützungsniveaus von $35.200 und $35.000 überwindet.
Technische Indikatoren

  • MACD auf dem 4-Stunden-Chart – Der MACD bewegt sich jetzt in der bärischen Zone.
  • 4-Stunden-RSI (Relative Strength Index) – Der RSI sinkt jetzt unter den Wert von 50.
  • Wichtige Unterstützungsniveaus – 35.000 $ und 32.000 $.
  • Wichtige Widerstandslevels – $36.500, $37.500 und $38.000.

Bitcoin (BTC) exceeds $ 35,000 and becomes one of the ten most capitalized assets in the world

Bitcoin (BTC) has been breaking record after record since crossing the $ 20,000 threshold less than three weeks ago. It has just crossed 35,000 dollars, and is now in the top 10 of the world’s most capitalized assets.

Bitcoin (BTC) bounces above $ 35,000

As we explained to you yesterday, Bitcoin (BTC) had stalled once the $ 30,000 milestone was passed on January 2. The next day it hit the threshold of 35,000 dollars , raising fears of a prolonged decline. But the largest cryptocurrency managed to break through the barrier less than three days later.

This morning, the price of Bitcoin stands at $ 35,100 , an all-time high. The capitalization of the digital currency is now over $ 652 billion . Over the last 24 hours, this corresponds to an increase of + 14%:

Bitcoin joins the big leagues

As noted by the AssetDash site , which lists important assets by market cap, Bitcoin is now in the top 10 of the most capitalized assets in the world . This morning, it even managed to overtake Alibaba Group Holding, which still dominated it a few hours ago. It is preceded by the stocks of the biggest heavyweights in their respective sectors, including Apple , Microsoft , Amazon , Alphabet A ( Google ) and Tesla :

Asset ranking by Bitcoin BTC capitalization

Cryptocurrency still has a ways to go before it catches up with Google and Amazon, but it could soon overtake Tesla, which “only” has a capitalization of $ 696 billion .

This shows the incredible trajectory of Bitcoin, which has exploded all of its records in just over two weeks. Altcoins are far behind, with the exception of Ether (ETH) , which now sits at number 75 in the rankings: it has taken almost 10 spots in the space of a few hours. This morning it has a capitalization of 131 billion dollars. The price of ETH also seems to be holding above $ 1,100.


Bitcoin’s rise makes reappear R$ 36 billion in currencies considered lost

Bitcoins that were considered lost moved again after being out of circulation for a long time.

Since Bitcoin reached new price records at least US$ 7 billion in digital currency returned to the market, the amount is worth approximately R$ 36.3 billion in the current conversion.

According to a report published by Glassnode, in the last 8 months alone more than 59,000 Bitcoin Investor that were identified as lost or stored have returned to the market.

This means, in theory, that the holders would decide that it is time to sell the currencies that appreciated more than 300% in 2020 alone.

“Lost or saved Bitcoins reached a minimum of 8 months: from 7,252,161,786 BTC to 7,252,221,072 BTC in 8 months:”

Several stories about lost bitcoins are not new, many people lost the digital currency simply after a computer crashed, and years ago this was not a problem, since the currency could be worth a few cents.

However, those “50 bitcoins” that were worth nothing and were lost in 2010 today are worth almost R$ 8 million. That is, many people today are trying to recover old HDs or any other device that was used to store the bitcoins.

20% bitcoins lost forever

Current estimates believe that at least 20% of the total supply of bitcoins is lost forever. This means that 1/5 of the maximum supply of digital currency never reaches the market.  That’s 4,200,000 BTC (4.2 million).

In other words, the scarcity of digital currency is even greater than many imagine and demand is only increasing. Therefore, the total supply of bitcoins today is approximately 16 million BTC, with many currencies not yet mined and several others still likely to be lost.

Although it is not possible to know for sure how many bitcoins are actually lost and how many are just kept, a report from Coinmetrics reveals that at least 1.5 million can be considered lost indeed.

The report classifies bitcoins as “proven lost” because they are coins created in the first year of the Bitcoin. The report notes that the genesis block of Bitcoin – the first block of the network – includes a “production” of bitcoins. These coins are not currently in circulation.

In addition, there are transactions that were duplicated in 2012. As “impossible” as this may seem, this has happened. New transactions have replaced the previous ones and the duplicates have not been accounted for.

There are also unclaimed reward currencies. The miners receive rewards for each block mined – and the network authenticates the payments to ensure that the miners do not accept more than enough. However, the network does not verify that the miners are receiving less and, for this reason, several bitcoins have been lost.

There are also coins classified as “supposedly lost”, or “zombie” coins, which are bitcoins that are not 100% lost, but cannot be recovered. This is because the owners of these coins have lost their passwords, which means that the coins are lost, but one day the owner can remember the password, or get the password in another way.

Believe that about 1,496,907 bitcoins are lost that way.

It is important to remember, therefore, that several Bitcoin price expectations based on its supposed supply of 21 million units is optimistic, in fact there are fewer coins and probably others will be lost.

Some will appear again, as it is happening, but it is possible to observe that the quantity is relatively small.